U.S. Core PCE Price Index YoY Actual 2.8% (Forecast 2.8%, Previous 2.9%)

February 29, 2024

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U.S. Core PCE Price Index YoY Actual 2.8% (Forecast 2.8%, Previous 2.9%)

The PCE inflation index, just published today, is considered the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. It showed a moderated increase in line with consensus forecast, suggesting that the recent inflationary pressures might be stabilizing. Optimism sparked by the PCE report triggered gains in stock index futures across U.S. sectors, led by technology, financial and consumer discretionary stocks. Investors are particularly excited about increasing prospects of returning to low interest rates, which tend to benefit high-growth companies, especially those in the technology sector, making their future cash flows more valuable.

The U.S. Core PCE price index YoY actual value of 2.8% can have lasting implications for the stock market and specific sectors – especially given the fact that some FOMC members recently voiced their concern regarding sluggish pace of inflation slowdown. A higher PCE price index may indicate a healthier economy and positive consumer spending, which could benefit sectors such as retail and hospitality.

Conversely, a lower PCE price index may raise concerns about economic slowdown or deflation, which could impact sectors like technology and growth-focused companies. It is important for investors to closely monitor the PCE price index and its correlation with relevant sectors to make informed investment decisions.